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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23220

Gimnástica Segoviana VS SS Reyes

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.66%
Draw
23.25%
Away
36.09%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5364
Log loss
0.8999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
8bc3e2b50aa178000dec2bbf62b0b2586af92c0e488eb4752f650ffb83ff527c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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