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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23177

Anaitasuna VS Tedeón

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.96%
Draw
24.89%
Away
26.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3908
Log loss
0.7142

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:51 UTC
SHA-256
5dbb1dcc2459bf4297f9560b4a1787949a72a6dd66966f887ef67fb555a51c9b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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