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Frozen pre-match forecast · #231615

Dordoi Bishkek VS Asiagoal

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.94%
Draw
22.29%
Away
21.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2912
Log loss
0.5809

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
caad921136dc71920ef5d58cc0b44b8a5be652729355ed8d1a0c873e9f0175a5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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