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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2316

Snodland VS Sheppey United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.54%
Draw
27.98%
Away
21.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9503
Log loss
1.5380

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
62c84a67a1936f7acf995d2b1e934aa1f3beef05567b5a89ad943f0988032b60

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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