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Frozen pre-match forecast · #231561

Moghreb Tetouan VS CODM Meknès

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.98%
Draw
27.55%
Away
54.48%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3155
Log loss
0.6074

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
a8b5268b3ec2f3c274daa600ceafcaaa9635903098fff8a521112be311f14450

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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