Frozen pre-match forecast · #231559
Icasa VS Guarani De Juazeiro
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 60.51%
- Draw
- 23.10%
- Away
- 16.39%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.2362
- Log loss
- 0.5024
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
- SHA-256
- 2ef60590f2741bc8e654e35cd9537b2a1285079a17f1be8a8e6f10d08e913ad0
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.