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Frozen pre-match forecast · #231548

RAAL La Louvière VS Cercle Brugge

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.72%
Draw
25.31%
Away
34.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6447
Log loss
1.0507

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
8a614db170031fb16ca35f51181a920f46ea24655d920ebb3de80d7302725fb5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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