Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #230981

ST Mirren VS Rangers

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
10.83%
Draw
16.95%
Away
72.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1176
Log loss
0.3255

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
72e491e566c1c950f55427c574ee4fd6770e2bb15eb231a2d09a2f7b91e98935

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →