Frozen pre-match forecast · #23039
Mickleover Sports VS Malvern Town
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 20 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 51.49%
- Draw
- 20.44%
- Away
- 28.07%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.9769
- Log loss
- 1.5877
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- legacy
- Captured at
- 20 Sep 2026 · 05:49 UTC
- SHA-256
- 1009b3d4678f9fd8880bf768ecf74b8a4bef9d2b495a4e36ff9c3ad135898296
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.