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Frozen pre-match forecast · #230169

Tapachula VS Zacatepec 1948

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.61%
Draw
25.24%
Away
39.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
e5024debce29e1ae6e4f624b735875aa134a263e2a6bcfd3e10e30c87998fd5e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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