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Frozen pre-match forecast · #23009

Brentwood Town VS Hashtag United

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.15%
Draw
20.99%
Away
32.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9452
Log loss
1.5610

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:48 UTC
SHA-256
92b7df8b258694f5cb5d97cb6409e8201bac3aaf7db175942b6ef438e3568c7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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