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Frozen pre-match forecast · #230036

Cacereño VS Lugo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
Match kickoff
06 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.76%
Draw
29.19%
Away
38.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:05 UTC
SHA-256
d0292ca60c7ab7c2400181bf4ca67af46e68fd3a4fd7ebc00f3a318ed2a8ec04

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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