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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229871

Masar W VS FUS Rabat W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.01%
Draw
26.32%
Away
23.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.3752
Log loss
0.6929

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
531613cbe78ab43168e76c064a4370cece0012d8f471c56b4cd0eac51cc82f91

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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