Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #229865

FAR Rabat W VS Kawempe Muslim W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.19%
Draw
22.43%
Away
24.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9049
Log loss
1.4111

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
58e00032cccd3f960bf54a9111e2f644c3a38af52329f6c7f54db11b0a6b4664

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →