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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229836

Belgrano Córdoba Res. VS Platense Res.

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.85%
Draw
21.82%
Away
14.33%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0394
Log loss
1.5223

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
e2f1dbc10a849d0088df24578cbd0e258494ba6834043538deb4109f42a23a10

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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