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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229762

ISCA VS ASEC Mimosas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
05 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
21.24%
Draw
28.55%
Away
50.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8077
Log loss
1.2535

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
56a37d712dccb2ef30ea6b7717f68bf64d5a9ff03a2ad9be7fa939bf3eaa752b

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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