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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229697

Be1 NFA VS Atmosfera

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.83%
Draw
24.48%
Away
26.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8800
Log loss
1.4073

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
6453d0a2795c3a8ce426088c90e0dc6197345c8745f86a68a68ea5071689a861

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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