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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229661

Scotland Mabvuku VS Chicken Inn

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.01%
Draw
25.39%
Away
11.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9671
Log loss
1.3708

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
77fd0af228bdefe800c11378fb01b54a3c2ff548de0d22d7ad9e8521c474c535

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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