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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229612

Goztepe U19 VS AZ U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
11.98%
Draw
16.92%
Away
71.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1265
Log loss
0.3411

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
c54210028ba9bd062815f3c776093de2073e8887df08fd7ad6a6079075faad0f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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