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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229586

Braintree VS Norwich City U21

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.27%
Draw
18.59%
Away
63.14%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.1012
Log loss
1.6999

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
ebee8fd6477a7a4eb882f7b32ef74be9767a75d0761996899d7ec40483e142b5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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