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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229533

Al-Raed VS Al Wehda Club

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.62%
Draw
24.83%
Away
35.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6340
Log loss
1.0342

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
90f9bd32dd20bf96e231e832906e650829be9150abcc0b8d2d41e80e4d439aa0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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