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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229529

Academico Viseu U23 VS Torreense U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.54%
Draw
23.86%
Away
25.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.8659
Log loss
1.3626

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
d427657fa8b2328a575b3fc5d5c5c6338db198af1b9102970e557d347d10b37a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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