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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2295

Eastbourne Borough VS Windsor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.53%
Draw
28.37%
Away
24.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4139
Log loss
0.7439

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
5073f6dfbbdb19b5a933512d0384a8ae3acd80670bb020c268bd396cbd7123b6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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