Frozen pre-match forecast · #229492
Estrela U23 VS Santa Clara U23
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 03 Nov 2026 · 11:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 34.15%
- Draw
- 26.54%
- Away
- 39.31%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.6586
- Log loss
- 1.0744
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- 459c67df98ecb1b39edd7491d81c5ab48c6230297b5a22e5b0d8325e1c7fff06
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.