Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #229490

Bodø / Glimt U19 VS Lille U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.81%
Draw
19.12%
Away
62.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0810
Log loss
1.6708

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
6e5299f46c22b48df84680a882263ebbf3df7734ad5776d2b3df808a5f999169

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →