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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229489

Vissel Kobe VS Ratchaburi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.08%
Draw
19.30%
Away
11.62%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.1464
Log loss
0.3699

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
50870f816d0ce81f92e74453ae030ed20a8a247237f7709bf408e2d09def6976

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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