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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229401

Al-Wasl FC VS Al Quwa Al Jawiya

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
74.02%
Draw
16.15%
Away
9.83%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1032
Log loss
0.3008

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
030e664a71cee85a760fea739cd56c2b63e4537ecf4038cb4959e2518a0aa185

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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