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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229375

Al Nasr U23 VS Al Sharjah U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:55 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
22.17%
Draw
20.55%
Away
57.28%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.0085
Log loss
1.5823

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
54f52e96439b98b157df35dd366353ebab2641c43a2f2b00b7c0890b24c5c61c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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