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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229370

Al Jabalain VS Al Bukayriyah

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.68%
Draw
22.13%
Away
13.18%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1911
Log loss
0.4356

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
afc26eda87d1e9e62760ef777c788e0ef4f18d6afe5b85af1444a42c665c1eed

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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