Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #229355

Deportes Limache VS A. Italiano

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.35%
Draw
24.50%
Away
30.15%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4496
Log loss
0.7908

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
b96c63689d51c260e3af1ac589459740d9212f07fe842fb76ed922a76c0fce05

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →