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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229344

Oviedo VS Las Palmas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 15:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
54.08%
Draw
24.93%
Away
20.98%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.9791
Log loss
1.5615

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
2352fae3687aeb6dd40a0d0571ceebcb4416837252d7545a89d8a00d11b171b8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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