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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229319

Liniers VS Ituzaingó

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
62.07%
Draw
23.47%
Away
14.46%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2199
Log loss
0.4769

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
22341575901cdc1324adbe3d421fbaffcf9f4e626ed6fb8252ac7d2b74159712

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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