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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229277

Ashdod VS Bnei Yehuda

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.68%
Draw
25.54%
Away
35.78%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5693
Log loss
0.9498

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
16ed9ee05a70148818f88622729ee69be0c8e8aba602aa6ecb3eeabdd322933d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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