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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229257

Lyngby VS Randers FC

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.00%
Draw
22.79%
Away
43.21%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.6742
Log loss
1.0788

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
8a34e0e847f25479bcc916a4153827072283ec41c4ce16ccb8f1a7820f973acd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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