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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229255

Budučnost Krušik VS FK Partizan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
17.13%
Draw
20.32%
Away
62.55%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 590-minute result
Brier score
0.2109
Log loss
0.4692

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
6f9189176475805cc0cde219c8393e2bb1f2857ce3fe697965896c88be7602c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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