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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229211

Enugu Rangers VS Bendel Insurance

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
69.65%
Draw
19.40%
Away
10.94%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1417
Log loss
0.3616

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
5024c0528d9faab69e90e2411da349f4b7fb55280b04bec3b4fb97576289b23d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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