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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229207

Témouchent VS US Biskra

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 16:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.43%
Draw
28.53%
Away
21.04%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8094
Log loss
1.2542

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
2222184960794d4b87745a9a11318d6b048cbb492337b2d2398cb996a63e56a2

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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