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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229183

Somaspor VS Sebat Gençlikspor

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
04 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.30%
Draw
22.62%
Away
54.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9455
Log loss
1.4863

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
e879dbe969c7024b9b1beb7b1a701b1b57d522f50f228c9a2be6163d4f913bc8

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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