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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229163

Huddersfield VS Luton

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.98%
Draw
23.92%
Away
29.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8842
Log loss
1.4306

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
1fe6b2d668b6ad8f03771a96ed006f0370b6d978b128ab246ed9187335ad1b53

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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