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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229155

Górnik Łęczna W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
47.03%
Draw
22.95%
Away
30.02%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.7636
Log loss
1.2033

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:02 UTC
SHA-256
ac586886c144c8d25d5d247afe9aeab89a7c303354237f4bda644dea1be05aba

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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