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Frozen pre-match forecast · #22915

Dugo Selo VS Inter Zapresic

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
Match kickoff
26 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.99%
Draw
21.78%
Away
34.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4783
Log loss
0.8212

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
20 Sep 2026 · 05:47 UTC
SHA-256
5f1683fc7ea692658bec82591a8902c2c87c0026ad78147ffc1080ec8fd4df27

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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