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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229134

Independ. Rivadavia VS Banfield

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 00:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
60.18%
Draw
23.10%
Away
16.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2399
Log loss
0.5078

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
b91685ecdef15e76649afb5c65ae16b4abda71d7f6cb45b9091d01a6cc340ab4

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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