Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #229108

RB Bragantino VS Santos

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 05:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.51%
Draw
24.11%
Away
30.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4474
Log loss
0.7873

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 05:01 UTC
SHA-256
2173a006571981f154023e47a2c4133c816c26b9f88e87a11460dfb4dd5f0590

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →