Frozen pre-match forecast · #229094
AC Douane VS Nouadhibou
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 01:02 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 02 Nov 2026 · 19:50 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 31.68%
- Draw
- 29.13%
- Away
- 39.19%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.5550
- Log loss
- 0.9367
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 02 Nov 2026 · 01:02 UTC
- SHA-256
- 25f891968adc79c0ba45ef7a060d9a77f01f7e5e3304e5e2fe2058a54ce6dea9
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.