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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229073

Hapoel Kfar Shalem VS Ironi Modi'in

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.05%
Draw
19.79%
Away
17.16%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.2051
Log loss
0.4612

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
fb534dc54336f44a7f0f7e35159663b2f8147ed2109bb9196cc504583fb21cdc

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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