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Frozen pre-match forecast · #229042

Santa Fe VS Once Caldas

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:01 UTC
Match kickoff
02 Nov 2026 · 01:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.53%
Draw
26.67%
Away
31.81%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.7086
Log loss
1.1455

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
02 Nov 2026 · 01:01 UTC
SHA-256
127a106881e06162dc74eed8904407642988e4ec8e00cf43c2339c622911a539

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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