Frozen pre-match forecast · #229000
Manchego VS CD Villa
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 01 Nov 2026 · 18:03 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 15 Nov 2026 · 17:00 UTC
- Record status
- Forecast retained
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 64.56%
- Draw
- 22.49%
- Away
- 12.94%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
Waiting for the final result
This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.
Get the full match analysis
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 01 Nov 2026 · 18:03 UTC
- SHA-256
- 076863772a7fada86534d63b8833314c6ac2e2eb9845449466e7d9d7ed572b67
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.