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Frozen pre-match forecast · #228888

Ventforet Kofu VS Albirex Niigata

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.28%
Draw
27.67%
Away
41.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.5219
Log loss
0.8904

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 17:01 UTC
SHA-256
0caad1637c4db91485d9839fd1d7af65a390c4e1ba4c41d5b51fb928ff89eb3f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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