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Frozen pre-match forecast · #228886

Yokohama FC VS Blaublitz Akita

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
01 Nov 2026 · 17:01 UTC
Match kickoff
03 Nov 2026 · 05:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.44%
Draw
24.96%
Away
21.60%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3257
Log loss
0.6266

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
01 Nov 2026 · 17:01 UTC
SHA-256
a2185d30d21af7d88c7a8d99d9a7cb39b32684fff0090bc943b29560df387c67

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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