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Frozen pre-match forecast · #2283

Billericay Town VS Enfield Town

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.31%
Draw
29.56%
Away
32.13%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6948
Log loss
1.1354

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:30 UTC
SHA-256
a1c3b6738c3bf0ccade3455d46bbf8365500501109b0ed3723b8112353083a74

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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